Italy vs England: Prediction Odds & Betting Tips, 23/09/22, Team News and Lineups

19:45, 23 sep 2022
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Italy vs England prediction for Friday’s UEFA Nations League showcase at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in Milan. This match is scheduled to start at 19:45 UK time. You can follow our free prediction betting tips and preview on this page.
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Top Three Predictions and Betting Tips for Italy vs England

Bookmaker Ratings Prediction One: Italy Win or Draw – 1.54

Bookmaker Ratings Prediction Two: Over 2 Goals – 1.66

Bookmaker Ratings Prediction Three: England 0 Goal Handicap – 1.81

Italy Win or Draw

There is a 35% chance that this match will end in a draw according to both teams’ form statistics. Italy meanwhile, have won three of their last eight home games. England on the other side are winless in the four Nations League games played in Group three so far.

Over 2 Goals

In order to decide the number of goals to be scored in this game, we will check the goal says of Italy and England. In detail, Italy’s nine of their last ten home games produced two or more goals. And the same number of goals was the outcome in England’s eight of ten games.

England 0 Goal Handicap

Playing on the road, England have won six and drew three of their ten games. Also, in their last four meetings with Italy, England lost once and drew three times. As a result, The Three Lions covered the 0 goal handicap in all of these matches.

Preliminary Review and Match Prediction for Italy vs England

Italy

After the huge disappointment of not qualifying for the World Cup for the second time in a row, Italy are expected to do well at least in the Nations League. However, after going undefeated in the first three games, winning one and drawing two, the Azzurri were humiliated by Germany in their previous round losing by 5-2.

In fact, Italy were down by 5-0 until the 70th minute before getting back some of their pride back with two strikes. Now, with five points at the third position, Italy still have a chance of finishing top given that they win their two remaining games and Germany loses at least one of theirs.

In their last ten fixtures, Italy scored on average 2.60 goals per game. At the other side of the field though, Mancini’s defense is not in its best days conceding 1.10 goals per game and keeping just two clean sheets in ten games.

England

Uncharacteristically, England are at the bottom of their group with two points from four games. The Three Lions drew two and lost two of their games and scored just one goal in the process. This is England’s worst run of results in four years since they lost two matches back-to-back in 2018.

Like their opponents Italy, England are coming into this match on the back of a huge loss as well. The Three Lions were thrashed in their own backyard by Hungary when they lost 0-4. It was one of England’s worst offensive performances as Gareth Southgate’s men had just two shots on goal.

A chant of “you don’t know what you’re doing” in the closing stages may be a tad harsh on Southgate, but summed up the frustration inside Molineux as England went four matches without a victory for the first time during his tenure.

Italy vs England Prediction

This will be a chance for both teams to bounce back from their previous defeats and as a result we expect to see an open game. Italy with a win may climb to the top of the group while England must win to avoid being relegated to League B. In conclusion, we will back a double chance of a home win or draw. 

Safe Bet

In their last ten fixtures across all competitions, Italy scored on average 1.10 goals per game and 1.00 per game while playing on home soil. England on the other side typically conceded 0.50 goals per away game. Thus with odds of 1.46 at 22Bet, we will back Italy to score under 1.5 goals and consider it as our safe bet.

Get Rich Quick

As we saw in our earlier prediction, a draw has a 35% possibility and was the outcome in three of the last four h2h matchups. In addition, there is a 75% chance that this match will produce over 1.5 goals. We will back a combo bet that combines a draw with over 1.5 goals which has odds of 4.44 at 22Bet.

Anytime Goalscorer

Ciro Immobile has been playing with the Italian senior national team since 2014 and has 55caps for his country during which he was the author of 15 goals. At 32, Immobile is one of the most prolific goal scorers in Italian football and was the top scorer in Serie A last season. With odds of 2.62 at 22Bet, we predict Immobile to score anytime in this game.

Italy vs England Team News

Italy midfielder Marco Verratti has picked up a calf injury in PSG’s latest game with Lyon and is ruled out of the two Nations League games for the Azzurri. In addition, Chiesa is still recovering from his ACL operation while Berardi has a muscle injury and Locatelli physical discomfort.

For England, Declan Rice and John Stones are both suspended. Moreover, Kalvin Phillips will miss both UNL games through a shoulder injury. Additionally, Marcus Rashford was not called up due to muscular problems.

Italy vs England Predicted Lineups

Italy: Donnaruma.   Acerb, Bastoni, Di Lorenzo, Bonucci.   Barella, Jorginho, Cristante.   Immobile, Raspadori, Scamacca.

England: Ramsdale.   Arnold, Dier, Reece James, Shaw.    Mount, Bellingham, Saka.   Kane, Sterling, Abraham.

Most Popular FAQ for Italy vs England

Who won the last meeting between these clubs?

Italy and England drew 0-0 on 11/06/22 in England.

Where will this match be played?

Friday’s game will be played at Giuseppe Meazza Stadium in Milan.

Which bookmaker has the best odds for this fixture?

We recommend checking out the odds at 22Bet for Italy vs England.

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Wide line

Average odds

Single: Won
Nations League
19:45/23 sep
Italy vs England
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Single: Lost
Nations League
19:45/23 sep
Italy vs England
Will this bet win?
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Yes 50%
No 50%
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Single: Lost
Nations League
19:45/23 sep
Italy vs England
Will this bet win?
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No 50%
Yes
No
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Suggest your tip
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