Portugal vs Spain prediction for Tuesday’s UEFA Nations League clash at Estádio Municipal de Braga in Braga. This match is scheduled to start at 19:45 UK time. You can follow our free prediction betting tips and preview on this page.
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Bookmaker Ratings Prediction One: Portugal 0 Goal Handicap – 1.61
Bookmaker Ratings Prediction Two: Under 2.5 Goals – 1.72
Bookmaker Ratings Prediction Three: Correct Score Group Bet 0-0 or 1-0 or 0-1 – 3.10
Portugal 0 Goal Handicap
All of the last four meetings between Portugal and Spain ended in a draw which according to the statistics has a 20% possibility. Moreover, Portugal have a 60% chance of winning after winning six of their last ten fixtures and covering the 0 goal handicap in eight of their last ten games.
Under 2.5 Goals
Recent games between Portugal and Spain have been low-scoring affairs. In detail, six of the last eight h2h meetings produced under 2.5 goals. Similarly, Portugal’s two of their last three and Spain’s three of their last five away games also ended with the same number of goals.
Correct Score Group Bet 0-0 or 1-0 or 0-1
Five of the last eight matches between Portugal and Spain ended by one of the suggested scores, that’s 62.5%. In addition, Spain’s three of their last eight fixtures across al competitions also ended by one of these scores.
Portugal
After their commanding win over the Czech Republic in Prague in the previous round, Portugal are now in the dring seat to qualify for the UEFA Nations League finals for the second time in three seasons. Having won the first edition of the UNL, the Selecao seem to have a strong relationship with the competition.
Leading Group two with ten points, Portugal are two points clear of second-placed Spain and need a draw to qualify, something they managed to do in the previous four games. However, we have to go back to 2010 to find Portugal’s last win over Spain which was in a friendly by 4-0.
It’s not only the complete domination in Prague by Portugal that catches the eye, but also coach Santos’ defense in recent games that conceded just two goals in the five UNL fixtures this season. Not to mention the very high efficiency on the other end scoring four out of five shots on target.
Spain
A surprise defeat in a very crucial period saw Spain concede the top of the group to their hosts and rivals Portugal. Surely the last thing coach Luis Enrique wanted was to travel to Portugal needing a win to qualify to the finals.
Notably, the last time Spain beat Portugal on the road was back in 2003 in a friendly. The Spanish team continued to prove that they suffer against teams who play compact defense as we can from the stats of the match that shows that La Roja managed just four shots on target in over 90 minutes.
Luis Enrique looks uncertain with his attack as he substituted all three starters. Still, La Roja must be at their best in Portugal on Tuesday night where they last managed to score back in 2003.
Portugal vs Spain Prediction
This is one of European football’s biggest rivalries, and fans couldn’t have asked for a more interesting scenario. We think both teams have equal strengths but Portugal seems to have a slight edge over their neighbors. Thus we will back the Selecao to cover the 0 goal handicap.
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Spain scored one or fewer goals in three of their last six matches and in seven of the last eight h2hs with Portugal. Portugal meanwhile conceded under one goal in their last seven games. With odds of 1.80 at 22Bet, we will back Spain to score under one goal in Tuesday’s game.
As we covered in our first prediction the outcome draw in this fixture has a great possibility since Portugal and Spain drew in their last four meetings. With Portugal needing a draw to finish on top of the group, we predict the home side to guide this one to a stalemate which has odds of 3.34 at 22Bet.
Diogo Jota has been playing with the Portuguese senior national team since 2019 and has 28 caps. During that period the 25-year-old scored ten goals and was also on target in the last game against the Czech Republic. With odds of 3.10 at 22Bet, we predict Jota to score anytime in Tuesday’s match.
Despite playing as a right back, Diogo Dalot scored twice in Portugal’s last game against the Czech Republic. The Manchester United defender has a big future in front of him in the Portuguese national team after some convincing performances in recent games.
Defender Raphael Guerreiro and Midfielder Otavio are the two injured players who will miss this game for Portugal.
On Spain’s side, defender Aymeric Laporte and midfielder Dani Almo are both ruled out due to injury.
Portugal: Diogo Costa. Dalot, Dias, Danilo, Rui. Carvalho, Fernandes, Neves. Ronaldo, Leao, Jota.
Spain: Simon. Azpilicueta, Garcia, Torres, Alba. Gavi, Busquets, Pedri. Torres Asensio, Sarabia.
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Who won the last meeting between these clubs?
Portugal and Spain drew 1-1 on 02/06/22 in Sevilla.
Where will this match be played?
Tuesday’s game will be played at Estádio Municipal de Braga in Braga.
Which bookmaker has the best odds for this fixture?
We recommend checking out the odds at 22bet for Spain vs Portugal.