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Swindon – Millwall. Mark O’Haire’s prediction (VIDEO)
Swindon appointed caretaker boss Luke Williams as their permanent head coach this week, offering the 35-year-old a five-year deal in charge of the County Ground club.
Williams stepped in to replace Martin Ling and is the fourth man to lead the Robins this season. But the former Brighton Under-21 and reserves coach has continued the upward momentum and built on Ling’s foundations to return an impressive W6-D2-L2.from his first 10 fixtures in charge.
Town’s comfortable 2-0 triumph over Doncaster a fortnight ago was their fourth on the trot and moved the Wiltshire raiders into the top-half. Last weekend’s postponement at Oldham saw the side slip back to 13th but sitting seven points outside the play-off places and a full 13 clear of League One’s bottom-four; a top-six finish appears unlikely but not yet out of the question.
Swindon now face three teams in the top-seven in their next three games, beginning with Millwall on Saturday. The results of which could make or break those lingering play-off aspirations.
Millwall head west having strung together a hugely impressive W8-D3-L2 run since Boxing Day to cement themselves in the top-six picture. Neil Harris’ troops have stayed under the radar for the bulk of the campaign and appear to have found greater defensive resolve alongside their free-scoring attack.
The Lions have regularly roared on the road since relegation and their W9-D4-L4 record is second only to Walsall in the third tier. But Millwall do boast the honours as the league’s best away offence as they’ve notched at least twice in 10 of those 17 matches on their travels.
The capital club have W4-D1-L0 in their most recent five away days and with two in-form teams locking horns at the County Ground, it’s difficult to split the two sides. So instead, I’m a happier camper taking a goals approach with the stats and trends overwhelmingly in our favour.
Over 2.5 Goals and Both Teams To Score is my weapon of choice with William Hill’s 2.10 standing out from the crowd. This is a selection that’s already proven profitable in 13/17 (76%) of Swindon’s home league outings and 10/17 (59%) of Millwall’s away matches – taking those stats alone, we should be looking at odds shorter than 1.50!
Nicky Ajose and Jonathan Obika have netted 15 of their 29 goals in the 10 games since Williams’ arrival and should spearhead a Swindon side’s attack that’s failed to score on just three occasions in Wiltshire this season, keeping a solitary clean sheet.
Millwall can call upon the twin-threat of Lee Gregory and Steve Morison with the Lions firing just one blank as guests this term. Harris’ men have shutout five of their hosts but on 12 occasions the Both Teams To Score bet has banked and the same figure has rewarded Over 2.5 Goals backers.
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