The Masters – Predictions, Odds & Betting tips 07/04/2022
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Bookmaker Ratings prediction one: Russell Henley to Win (each-way) – 51.00
Bookmaker Ratings prediction two: Corey Conners to Win (each-way) – 41.00
Bookmaker Ratings prediction three: Kevin Na to Finish Top 20 – 5.00
Bookmaker Ratings prediction four: Webb Simpson to Finish Top 20 – 4.00
Russell Henley to Win (each-way)
At what looks like something of a generous price, Russell Henley is my go-to guy this week. OK, he’s not one of the top ten in the world right now, all of whom look likely to do well, but over the last year or so, he’s developed into a very capable player, even when the field is stacked with those at the top of the rankings.
The current world number 42 hasn’t featured at Augusta for a while, but he’s not short of promising form here, with T15, T11 and T21 finishes to his name. Moreover, he’s held his form quite well in recent times, posting T13 finishes at both the PLAYERS and the Arnold Palmer recently.
Hitting greens in regulation is always important at this venue, and GIR is an area where Henley tends to do well. Only 11 players in the line-up have hit more greens in regulation on average this season. What’s more, if we consider his last eight events, Henley ranks as the ninth-best player in terms of both strokes gained: approach and strokes gained: tee-to-green. Such stats could easily contribute to the three-time PGA Tour winner being shorter in the betting.
At the end of the day, we’re looking at a player who has shaped with promise here in the past, which bodes well given that he’s now a more complete competitor, one who has their game in solid shape. If some of the big-dogs falter, for my money, Henley is exactly the type of player to take advantage, so don’t be surprised if he goes closer than odds of 51.00 suggest.
Corey Conners to Win (each-way)
Consistent on tour last season, Corey Conners is another player just outside of that top bracket who appears to hold solid claims this week. The 30-year-old arrives here off the back of a steady showing at the Valspar last weekend, where he posted one of the best final-round scores, while we saw that he isn’t fazed by going up against the very best in the game when he finished third at the WGC Dell Match Play a fortnight ago, beating world number eight and two-time major winner Dustin Johnson convincingly in the third-place match.
Conners has also performed as though a green jacket isn’t beyond his grasp in recent times, finishing T8 and T10 here in the last two seasons, while of those players to have made at least two appearances at the Masters, he ranks 12th for average score. Not exactly becoming a player who is as big as 41.00 in places.
The third best on tour right now for greens in regulation, across his last eight events, Conners ranks sixth for strokes gained: off-the-tee, 16th for strokes gained: approach and 17th for strokes gained: total. If the Canadian shows that same level of form that we saw at the WGC Dell Match Play just two weeks ago, then he’s another ideal candidate for an each-way play.
Kevin Na to Finish Top 20
If you’re looking for somebody at a really big price, then don’t be put off by Kevin Na at 126.00, who could quite easily snatch at a place, but for me, this man is best played in the ‘Top 20’ market.
I’ll start off by saying that I think world number 30 is seriously undervalued this week. Sure, he hasn’t been in scintillating form of late, but he played pretty well at the WGC Dell Match Play, winning all three of his group matches, before losing out to Will Zalatoris in a play-off in the knockouts.
What’s really eye-catching is that he’s one of the most prolific Bentgrass Green winners in this line-up. Four of Na’s five wins have come on Bentgrass greens, which bodes well ahead of a trip to Augusta, which is a venue that he’s shown a liking for, finishing 12th here last season, and 13th the season before. This form isn’t to be ignored. At a chunky 5.00, the five-time PGA Tour winner is fancied to keep his run of top-20 finishes at the Masters going.
Webb Simpson to Finish Top 20
Another player who knows how to play well here is Webb Simpson, who like Na, fits into the ‘forgotten man’ category.
A lack of both playing time and form this season means that Simpson doesn’t exactly arrive here with an army of followers ready to get behind him in the betting, but don’t give up on him on that basis alone. The North Carolina man knows how to get down to business at Augusta, finishing T12, T10, T5 and T20 in the last four renewals of the Masters, while like Kevin Na, he’s something of a Bentgrass Green specialist, so don’t be surprised if Simpson seemingly comes from nowhere to finish high up on the leaderboard.
Most Popular FAQ for the Masters
Who won the Masters last season?
Hideki Matsuyama claimed his first major success at Augusta 12 months ago.
Where will this tournament be played?
This tournament is set to take place at Augusta National in Georgia, the home of what is arguably golf’s most prestigious tournament.
Where can I watch the Masters?
Viewers in the UK will be able to watch all four days live on Sky Sports, while those in the US will be able to watch via the Golf Channel, while there will also be live coverage on ESPN.
Which bookmaker has the best odds for this tournament?
We recommend checking out both William Hill and Vbet ahead of the Masters.
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