Wolfsburg v Werder Bremen Betting Tips: Visitors too big in the betting

19:55, 18 sep 2017

Two of the Bundesliga’s current strugglers face each other on Tuesday night as Werder Bremen travel to face Wolfsburg. With neither of these two starting the season particularly well, this is a big opportunity for both to gain a positive result.

The hosts may have won one of their first four matches, but they’ve been largely unimpressive overall, much like last season. Having stayed up by the skin of their teeth last term, it appears as though there’s no quick fix for Die Wölfe, and so a continuation of the current decline could be on the cards before things get better.

Unlike Wolfsburg, Bremen are yet to win this season, but their performances haven’t been completely without promise, while they’ve not exactly been helped by the fixture list, facing three of last season’s top six, including the champions, in their opening four matches.

Both teams will be without key players with Mario Gomez out for the hosts and Zlatko Junuzovic missing for Bremen, but, nevertheless, one team still make far more appeal than the other in the betting. Based on what they’ve done so far, coupled with the fact that their biggest goal threat is sidelined, it’s hard to see just how Wolfsburg merit such favourtism ahead of this match. Yes, they’re playing in front of a home crowd, which does of course help, but their performances so far this season have created a very negative impression and the club know it. Replacing manager Andries Jonker with Martin Schmidt could be construed as a positive; however, even if that appointment does turn out to be a shrewd move, the new boss is unlikely to have changed much having come in just one day before this match.

At a price of 29/10, the visitors are the only team to side with in this fixture. They may have struggled for results so far, but this is a much easier task than any of the previous four assignments so far this season. Narrow defeats against Hoffenheim (1-0) and the imperious Bayern (0-2) can be forgiven, while Alexander Nouri’s men acquitted themselves reasonably well against both Hertha and Schalke recently. Against a Wolfsburg side who don’t create an awful lot, and one who’ll be missing their chief goalscorer, Bremen have a much better chance of keeping things tight at the back, before attempting to do some damage at the other end. Offensively, the visitors have looked better in recent weeks, notching against both Hertha and Schalke. Even without Junuzovic, with the likes of Max Kruse in their side, Bremen carry a threat.

Wolfsburg’s problems, as was the case last season, are of an attacking nature; Saturday’s 1-0 loss against newly promoted Stuttgart again highlighted their impotency in the final third. Not only did they struggle to create clear-cut opportunities, without Mario Gomez, they looked very tame, especially when looking to deliver from the wide areas. Only one team in the Bundesliga has so far managed less shots on target than Wolfsburg and so it would be no surprise whatsoever if they fail to fire in this fixture. In addition to Gomez being out, Wolfsburg are also likely to be without both Kaylen Hinds and Jakub Błaszczykowski. Defensively, they’re without John brooks, while it would also appear as though they’re far less secure without defensive midfielder Luis Gustavo, who left for pastures new in the summer, patrolling in front of the back-line.

Quite simply, although they’re yet to win so far this season, Bremen appear to have been underestimated in the betting. Against far less imposing opponents, the visitors could very easily snatch their first win of the campaign and, at odds of 29/10, are well worth backing to do so.

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