Zhang Shuai and Jasmine Paolini will face each other in the 1/16 finals of the Internazionali Femminili di Palermo. The game will start on July 20 at 22:30 UK time.
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Bookmaker Ratings: Prediction One – Handicap (-2) for Paolini – 1.73.
Bookmaker Ratings: Prediction Two – Total Games Over 20.5 – 1.70.
Paolini played more confidently at the start of the tournament. She will also have the support of the local crowd on her side, especially as the organisers have set this game as the last start. We think Jasmine will manage to beat Zhang Shuai today for the first time in her career and advance to the quarterfinals of the home tournament.
In none of their three head-to-head encounters have they played more than 21 games. However, we don’t expect this trend to continue after the match in Palermo.
Zhang Shuai is defending her points for last year’s semi-final in Palermo. In her first match against Rebeka Masarova (7-6, 7-6), she was clearly motivated to perform as well as possible in Italy.
In a game against Rebeka, Zhang Shuai was very convincing on her first serve and won 73% of the points. The will to win was undeniable as the Shang battled back from 0-3 down in the second set and was clearly helped by her experience in the tie-break.
Zhang Shuai has lost three of her last five matches on clay.
Jasmine Paolini has looked weak throughout the season. She has a negative balance of wins and losses on the tour (12-15). On the clay, the statistics are also unimpressive, with just four wins in ten matches played.
Despite all the setbacks, Paolini started in Palermo at home with a very solid victory over Anna Karolina Schmeidlova (6-3, 6-1). Jasmine was in complete control of the match, giving up her serve only once and getting a well-deserved win.
Jasmine Paolini has won four of her last five matches as a favourite.
In two of the three head-to-head matches, less than 9.5 games were played in the first set. We offer to bet on “1st Set Games – Under 9.5” with odds of 1.66.
Type of Court – Clay
Speed of Court – 5/10
Shuai’s Rating – 36
Zhang Shuai Wins/Losses in 2022 – 23/18
Paolini’s Rating – 61
Jasmine Paolini Wins/Losses in 2022 – 12/15
Zhang has won all three face-offs.
The match will be played at Center Court, Country Time Club, Palermo, Italy.
We recommend checking out the odds for Palermo Ladies Open: Shuai vs Paolini at Helabet and Melbet.