Real Madrid vs Arsenal Prediction and Tips | 16/04/2025

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Real Madrid welcomes Arsenal to the iconic Santiago Bernabéu on Wednesday, 16th April 2025, for the second leg of their UEFA Champions League quarter final tie. Here’s our Real Madrid vs Arsenal prediction, head-to-head insight, key stats, and betting tips.

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Real Madrid have it all to do at the Bernabeu, trailing 3-0 after a shocker at the Emirates. The 15-time champs have looked shaky, conceding in 9 straight games and winless in their last three. Key men are missing too: Camavinga is suspended, Mendy is doubtful, Carvajal still sidelined, and others touch-and-go.

Arsenal, flying high and unbeaten in 8 games, arrive full of confidence after a tactical masterclass in the first leg, highlighted by Rice’s stunning free kicks. Saka’s back from injury, but Havertz and Gabriel miss out. Arteta’s side will be aiming to finish the job in Madrid.

Real Madrid vs Arsenal Head-to-Head and Key Stats

Head-to-Head:

First Leg (08/04/25): Arsenal 3-0 Real Madrid
Prior to this season, these two teams last met in competitive play back in the 2005/06 UCL campaign, where Arsenal advanced with a 1-0 aggregate win.

Key Stats:

Real Madrid have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 9 games.
Arsenal are 5/5 in scoring first in recent matches.
Real Madrid have lost 3 of their last 5 competitive fixtures.
Arsenal have not lost in their last 4 away matches in Europe.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Real Madrid’s last 5 games.

Real Madrid vs Arsenal Prediction

We lean towards a 2-2 draw. The Santiago Bernabeu loves a comeback, but this might be beyond a shaky Real Madrid defense featuring Raul Asencio. Arsenal, with Rice and Partey commanding midfield and Saliba anchoring the back, look composed and in control. Their pressing suggests another goal is likely. Even if Madrid start strong, Arsenal’s calm could quickly neutralize it.