Aslan Karatsev and Lorenzo Sonego will face each other in the 1/16 finals of the Swedish Open. The game will start on July 11 at 14:00 UK time.
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Bookmaker Ratings: Prediction One – Handicap (+3.5) for Karatsev – 1.70.
Bookmaker Ratings: Prediction Two – Total Games Over 22 – 1.77.
Karatsev is the underdog, but he can surprise. In his last matches, he has not looked so bad. For example, on grass, he even won one set against Daniil Medvedev. Aslan is leading (2-0) in their head-to-head encounters. Besides, he’s already beaten Sonego once this season. At the very least, he has to put up a fight.
The two head-to-head encounters ended in three sets. It’s not out of the question that something similar will happen now.
Karatsev had won just one match at five previous tournaments, causing him to fall outside the top 40 in the rankings.
Shortly before Wimbledon, which was without Russian players this year, Aslan beat Jaume Munar (3-6, 6-1, 6-3) at a tournament in Mallorca.
In the next match, Karatsev lost to Daniil Medvedev (6-4, 3-6, 2-6) despite taking the first set.
It’s hard to say what will happen next, but judging from recent matches Karatsev’s game is unlikely to make any serious progress.
Karatsev has only 3 wins in his last 10 matches against lower-ranked opponents.
Sonego, meanwhile, had a good Wimbledon, where he reached the third round. Some may say that the result is so-so, but here we have to take into account that his opponent in the third match was Rafael Nadal (1-6, 2-6, 4-6).
Interestingly, at the Australian Open and Roland Garros, Lorenzo also reached the third round.
In the context of the upcoming match, it is important to note that on the whole, Sonego has not played very well on the clay this year. Oddly enough, he only managed to win more than one match at the Majors in Paris and at the Buenos Aires tournament.
Sonego has won four of his last five first-round matches.
In three of Sonnego’s last four matches, more than 9.5 games have been played in the first set. We offer to bet on “1st Set Games – Over 9.5” with odds of 1.87.
Type of Court – Clay
Speed of Court – 4/10
Karatsev’s Rating – 42
Aslan Karatsev Wins/Losses in 2022 – 10/16
Sonego’s Rating – 54
Lorenzo Sonego Wins/Losses in 2022 – 17/18
Karatsev has twice outplayed Sonego on the hard in his two previous matches with the same score of 2-1.
The match will be played at Center Court, Bastad Tennis Stadium, Bastad, Sweden.
We recommend checking out the odds for Swedish Open: Karatsev vs Sonego at Sportsbet.io and VBet.