Fabio Fognini vs Daniil Medvedev: Prediction and Betting Tips

Fabio Fognini hoping to break the losing streak against the world number two

Playing in his third Olympic Games in Tokyo, Fabio Fognini has matched his best result at the games and reached the third round. In London 2012, Fognini lost in the third round to eventual Gold medal winner Andy Murray. This year he plays another big contender for the Gold Daniil Medvedev against whom the Italian has lost the last five matches.

Fognini is looking in good form in Tokyo and has won his two matches in straight sets. In his first match against local boy Sugita, the Italian won 80% of his first-serve points and saved all three breakpoints. It was tighter in the second match as Fognini lost his serve once against Gerasimov in the first set but still won 6-4. The second set went to a tie break and Fognini sealed it 7-4.

Fognini Key Stats

• Fognini has played 21 games per match in Tokyo
• The average number of winners per match by Fognini in Tokyo is 34
• The average points won by Fognini on his second serve is 57%

Daniil Medvedev aiming for a podium finish

In his first appearance in the Olympic Games, Daniil Medvedev is seeking a podium finish. The Russian kick-started his campaign with two quick wins in the first two rounds. The world number two had a very impressive year on hard courts reaching the final of the Australian Open. Medvedev also won the ATP Marseille title and the ATP cup with Russia.

Despite losing in the fourth round of Wimbledon, Medvedev is on a 9-1 win / loss run including a title triumph in Mallorca. The second seed comes into this match after an easy match in the second round against Nagal where he won 6-1,6-2. It was a bit tighter in the first round where Medvedev needed a second-set tiebreaker to overcome world number 39 Bublik in two sets.

Medvedev Key Stats

• Medvedev is on a 17-3 win / loss record on hard courts this year
• The average games per match played by Medvedev is 24.5
• 79.2% is the average first-serve points won by Medvedev

Fabio Fognini vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction 

Medvedev is playing on his favorite surface where he has won 72% of his matches in his career and ten of the eleven titles he won were on hard courts. After suffering in the clay-court season, the second seed is back in his comfort zone and is expected to excel.

Fognini on the other hand is playing on his least favorite surface according to his record. The Italian has won 48% of the matches he played on hard courts in his career winning just one of his ten career titles on a hard court. 

Fognini needs to find a way to adjust to Medvedev’s powerful groundstrokes. The Italian is known for his weak mobility on the court. He needs to dictate the rallies and take risks and go for early winners. 

Medvedev is the clear favorite to win with odds of 1.12 at Vbet. The total games market is what we’re aiming at again and over 18.5 games in the match seem reasonable with both players having good matches so far.

Fabio Fognini vs Daniil Medvedev Betting Tips

Over 18.5 Games 1.58 at Vbet

 Medvedev to win and Under 21.5 games 1.61 at Vbet