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Paraguay vs Ecuador: Prediction Odds & Betting Tips, 24/03/22, Team News and Lineups

01:03, 22 March 2022
Sebouh Babikian
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Paraguay vs Ecuador prediction for Thursday’s World Cup qualifier clash at Estadio Antonio Oddone Sarubbi (Ciudad del Este). Ninth-placed Paraguay host Ecuador who are third in round 17 of the South American World Cup Qatar 2022 qualifiers. You can read our free prediction betting tips and preview on this page.

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Top-Three Predictions ad Betting Tips for Paraguay vs Ecuador

Bookmaker Ratings prediction one: Ecuador win – 2.44

Bookmaker Ratings prediction two: Ecuador 0 goal handicap – 1.64

Bookmaker Ratings prediction three: Correct score 0-1 – 5.35

Ecuador Win

Ecuador are undefeated in their last five away games winning two and drawing three. Paraguay meanwhile lost their last two home games. According to the stats, there’s a 40% chance for the visitors to win. Moreover, Paraguay lost five of their last seven fixtures.

Ecuador 0 Goals handicap

In 16 rounds played so far, Ecuador won seven, drew four, and lost five times. As a result, the Tricolors covered the 0 handicap 11 times in these qualification fixtures. With odds of 1.64, the bookies are favoring Ecuador to cover the handicap again on Friday.

Correct Score 0-1

Ecuador won by the score of 1-0 in this qualification campaign. That was against Venezuela in round 13. Obviously being the favorites to win this match, Ecuador will be content if they score first and will defend vigorously to keep that lead.

#Albirroja ⚪?

Segundo día de entrenamientos en el CARDE.

Los detalles: https://t.co/vJQIjaMq2Q #VamosParaguay ?? pic.twitter.com/pHlqrh7lnL

— Selección Paraguaya (@Albirroja)

Preliminary Review and Match Prediction for Paraguay vs Ecuador

With two games remaining in CONMEBOL World Cup Qualification, avoiding collecting to finish last in the standings is all Paraguay have left to play for. Their salvation may come in the form of Venezuela’s demise elsewhere though, given that it’s now seven successive WCQ games without scoring a goal (D2, L5) for FIFA’s 50th ranked side.

Paraguay’s two WCQ victories in this cycle both came against bottom-placed Venezuela by a  one-goal margin. Whilst no CONMEBOL side scored fewer WCQ goals than ‘Los Guaraníes’ nine goals this cycle. But not scoring goals is only half the problem as Paraguay’s defense continues to struggle, now conceding 23 strikes in this WCQ cycle, with a whopping 17 of those coming after the break!

At the other end, Ecuador,  know that a three-point haul here would secure their qualification for football’s showpiece event in Qatar at the end of the year. Winning their two remaining WCQ games would also see ‘La Tri’ equal their best-ever WCQ total of 31 points that came back in qualification for the 2002 World Cup!

Things may not be as straightforward as the table suggests, however, as Ecuador have never won a WCQ game on Paraguayan soil (L8). That home team dominance is reflected across all WCQ H2Hs, with the away side on the day never winning, though the traveling team usually manages to score, with 11 of the last 12 WCQ H2Hs witnessing both teams find the net.

Paraguay vs Ecuador Prediction

Despite the goals scored in the previous meetings, we expect a close one here. Clearly, Ecuador are the better team and will be keen to finish the job before hosting Argentina in the final round. Therefore, we predict Ecuador to return as the victors from Ciudad del Este.

Safe Bet

Paraguay’s last five home games produced two or fewer goals. In the same way, Ecuador’s last five WCQ fixtures had under 2.5 goals. In addition, the statistics show a 70% probability for this match to end with two or fewer goals. As a result, we will choose under 2.5 goals to be our safe bet for this fixture.

Quick Rich

In five of their last seven World Cup qualifier fixtures, Ecuador won the first half. Clearly, the Tricolors need the three points more than their hosts and will attack early on to secure a goal. Hence, we will back Ecuador to win the first half of this match with odds of 3.00.

Paraguay vs Ecuador First Goalscorer

Michael Martinez is Ecuador’s top scorer in the World Cup qualifications with seven goals. Martinez plays his club football with DC United in the MLS and scored twice in three appearances. Notably, Martinez scored the first goal of a match twice in the qualifiers and we predict he will do it again.

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